通胀还将持续五年?分析师:建议增持股票、黄金和其他大宗商品,远离债券
英为财情Investing.com –资产管理公司WisdomTree全球研究部主管Jeremy Schwartz日前表示,至少在未来五年内,通胀还将持续上涨。“我们主要观点之一是,通胀不是暂时的。我们认为,未来几年,通胀水平将高于市场历来预期的平均水平。”
Jeremy Schwartz解释道,长期通胀压力的主要驱动因素是更高的需求、持续增加的货币供应以及不断上升的货币周转率。他指出,美国M2货币供应量在过去一年大幅增加,较疫情爆发前一年增加了40%。
Jeremy Schwartz进一步指出,通胀率在未来五年内可能上升20%。
由于高通胀可能持续很长时间,Jeremy Schwartz给出了一些投资建议。他建议投资者们增持股票、黄金和其他大宗商品,远离债券。
“我们正在寻找对冲通胀的工具和债券的替代品。我们增持了股票和大宗商品,我们大约有3%的黄金和3%的广义大宗商品作为周期性大宗商品的综合敞口。”“黄金是一种通胀对冲工具,更像是一种防御性资产,而大宗商品则更具周期性。”
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